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Crypto-currency:
Boom or Bust?
In 1971 President
Richard Nixon drastically altered the future of financial exchanges by
separating the US dollar from gold and thus creating the free-floating fiat
currency market we are familiar with today. But, there was no way for him to
know how monumental that change would be come 2017 when currency is now
shifting from the tangible fiat or paper money to the digital. Many people who watch the news may be
familiar with the most famous crypto-currency Bitcoin. However, there are
hundreds more of these types of currencies out on the market today. In this
article we will first define what is crypto-currency and how it’s used, then look
at the brief history of crypto-currency, how it is set up through secure block
chains, and what its future looks like.
Crypto-Currency:
There is no
central regulated authority (such as the Federal Reserve for the US dollar)
that governs crypto-currencies, which you’ll see is a main attraction for
buyers. Crypto-currencies use very technical mathematics to selectively release
their coins over a specific period so as not to over saturate the market and
create inflation. They also often have a cap on the total number allowed. For
instance, Bitcoin is currently capped at 21 million through the year 2040.
Because of this sophisticated coding, it makes the currency exceptionally hard
to forge and without formal regulation, crypto-currencies are essentially
immune to political swings that might affect their value.
History:
Modern day
crypto-currency started in 2009 with the creation of Bitcoin by mysterious
founder Satoshi Nakamoto. It is widely speculated that Mr. Nakamoto is not
actually an individual but rather a group, but since he is so allusive, no one
has been able to confirm that theory. By October of that year the first
official exchange rate of US dollars to Bitcoin was established based on the
standard of the electricity cost to generate one Bitcoin. In May of 2010 the
first real world transaction between Bitcoin was to purchase a pizza in
Jacksonville Florida for 10,000 Bitcoin ($25 USD). Over the course of the next
year Bitcoin continued to grow in valuation and was valued at 1 to 1 with the
US dollar by February of 2011. However, its growth was often hard to maintain,
as it constantly would have huge up and down swings sometimes falling as much
as 50% within a couple weeks. However, Bitcoin has grown so much that it
recently reached over $3000. This meteoric rise in value has inspired many
other developers across the world to create their own crypto-currency. Another
popular currency currently seeing a similar rise as Bitcoin is Ethereum, which
has risen 2000% just this year. These numbers might seem insane for for a
currency that isn’t safely secured by a government, but that is a misconception
for one reason – block chains.
Block chains:
Block chains are
a revolutionary decentralized system, which helps with the storage of
information and is the backbone of crypto currencies. This means that all of
the data stored across the network isn’t consolidated to one central location,
which is how the Internet historically operates. By storing information in one
location, you make an easy target for hackers to come and try and steal it.
However, blockchains are a network of nodes that continually update and save
all of the information across the entire system. Therefore, while theoretically
possible to still hack, it is almost impossible to gain access to all of the
nodes of the system at the same time to truly take it over. This type of
technology has proven to be very popular and useful. For instance, Google Docs,
a system many people are familiar with that allows users to continuously update
a document remotely while also saving all the changes, uses blockchain
technology. It has even shown great promise for governmental use with Estonia
becoming the first country to store their property records using a blockchain.
Blockchains are integral to crypto-currencies though because they provide its
security. By continually saving and distributing all of its data across the
entire network it keeps track of who owns the currency and how much. So for
instance, when a new buyer of Bitcoin records his/her transaction, they add
another node to the blockchain network that is saved across the entire network.
Now that we understand the history and mechanics of crypto-currencies, what
does the future lie for this new form of money?
Boom or Bust?
With anything
that rises as fast in valuation as Bitcoin and other crypto currencies have the
word “bubble” allows follows it. A valuation bubble happens when something is
overvalued so much that it suddenly bursts and crashes in valuation. The most
recent and damaging bubble in recent memory is the 2008 mortgage crisis where
homes across the United States were so overvalued that when the bubble burst it
sent the entire economy into a spiral. Bitcoin has seen its fair share of
bursting bubbles as it has often fallen in valuation quickly throughout its
short history, but it has never seen an increase as drastic as it has recently.
In fact, just this week as I am writing this Bitcoin has fallen from nearly
$3000 to $2100 just further showing how volatile it can be. Because of its
history, buyers of Bitcoin are often very aware of the risks they take in
buying it. However, more and more markets are starting to take Bitcoin and
crypto currencies more seriously as regulators have been trying to control
them. As more and more users use crypto currencies to buy every day items such
as pizzas or clothing, they further legitimize it as a real currency. Despite
this though the blockchains that crypto currencies are built on are proving to
be amazing tools for private citizens and governments alike to safely store
data. Only time will tell if crypto currencies are here to stay or if they will
fall into the abyss that is internet trends.
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