Expert Article Final Draft
Crypto-currency: Boom or Bust?
In 1971 President Richard Nixon drastically altered the
future of financial exchanges by separating the US dollar from gold and thus
creating the free-floating fiat currency (paper money) market we are familiar
with today. But, there was no way for him to know how monumental that change
would be come 2017 when currency is now shifting from the tangible fiat to the
digital. Many people who watch the news may be familiar with the most
famous crypto-currency Bitcoin. However, there are hundreds more of these types
of currencies out on the market today. In this article we will first define
what is crypto-currency and how it’s used, then look at the brief history of
crypto-currency, how it is set up through secure block chains, and what its
future looks like.
Crypto-Currency:
There
is no central regulated authority (such as the Federal Reserve for the US
dollar) that governs crypto-currencies, which you’ll see is a main attraction
for buyers. Crypto-currencies use very technical mathematics to selectively
release their coins over a specific period so as not to overly saturate the
market and create inflation. They also often have a cap on the total number
allowed. For instance, Bitcoin is currently capped at 21 million through the
year 2040. Because of this sophisticated coding, it makes the currency
exceptionally hard to forge. Without formal regulation, crypto-currencies are
essentially immune to political swings that might affect their value.
History:
Modern
day crypto-currency started in 2009 with the creation of Bitcoin by mysterious
founder Satoshi Nakamoto. It is widely speculated that Mr. Nakamoto is not
actually an individual but rather a group, however, since he is so elusive, no
one has been able to confirm that theory. By October of that year, the first
official exchange rate of US dollars to Bitcoin was established based on the
electricity cost to generate one Bitcoin. In May of 2010, the first real world
transaction between Bitcoin was to purchase a pizza in Jacksonville Florida for
10,000 Bitcoin ($25 USD). Over the course of the next year Bitcoin continued to
grow in valuation and was valued at 1 to 1 with the US dollar by February of
2011. However, its growth was often hard to maintain, as it constantly would have
huge up and down fluctuations sometimes falling as much as 50% within a couple
weeks. However, Bitcoin has grown so much that it recently reached over $3000.
This meteoric rise in value has inspired many other developers across the world
to create their own crypto-currency. Another popular currency currently seeing
a similar rise as Bitcoin is Ethereum, which has risen 2000% just this year.
These numbers might seem insane for for a currency that isn’t safely secured by
a government, but that is a misconception for one reason – blockchains.
Block chains:
Blockchains are a revolutionary decentralized system, which
helps with the storage of information and is the backbone of cryptocurrencies
(BlockGeeks). This means that all of the data stored across the network isn’t
consolidated to one central location, which is how the Internet historically
operates. By storing information in one location, it is an easy target for
hackers. However, blockchains are a network of blocks that continually update
and save all of the information across the entire system. Therefore, while
theoretically possible to still hack, it is almost impossible to gain access to
all of the blocks of the system at the same time to truly take it over. This
type of technology has proven to be very popular and useful. For instance,
Google Docs, a system many people are familiar with allows users to
continuously update a document remotely while also saving all the changes, uses
blockchain technology. It has even shown great promise for governmental use
with Estonia becoming the first country to store their property records using a
blockchain (Economist). Blockchains are integral to crypto-currencies because
they provide its security. By continually saving and distributing all of its
data across the entire network, it keeps track of who owns the currency and how
much. So for instance, when a new buyer of Bitcoin records his/her transaction,
they add another block to the blockchain network that is saved across the
entire network. Now that we understand the history and mechanics of
crypto-currencies, where does the future lie for this new form of money?
Boom or Bust?
With
anything that rises as fast in valuation as Bitcoin and other crypto
currencies, the word “bubble” always follows (Economist). A valuation bubble
happens when something is overvalued so much that it suddenly bursts and
crashes in valuation. The most recent and damaging bubble in recent memory is
the 2008 mortgage crisis, where homes across the United States were so
overvalued that when the bubble burst it sent the entire economy into a spiral.
Bitcoin has seen its fair share of bursting bubbles as it has often fallen in
valuation quickly throughout its short history, but it has never seen an
increase as drastic as it has recently. In fact, just the week in which I have
written this, Bitcoin has fallen from nearly $3000 to $2100 (Fortune), further
showing its volatility. Because of its history, buyers of Bitcoin are often
very aware of the risks they take in buying it. However, more and more markets
are starting to take Bitcoin and crypto currencies more seriously as regulators
have been trying to control them. As more and more users use crypto currencies
to buy every-day items such as pizzas or clothing, they further legitimize it
as a real currency. Despite this though, the blockchains that crypto currencies
are built on are proving to be amazing tools for private citizens and
governments alike to safely store data. Only time will tell if crypto
currencies are here to stay or if they will fall into the abyss that is
Internet trends.
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